Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.602548 0.667880 0.740245 0.826895 0.928563 1.044982 1.189709
2025-09-28 0.483491 0.568045 0.670005 0.804218 0.979689 1.206475 1.530877
2025-10-05 0.438178 0.536481 0.662546 0.840867 1.095111 1.459363 2.051973
2025-10-12 0.403319 0.509413 0.652059 0.865729 1.193116 1.706403 2.648478
2025-10-19 0.370303 0.478953 0.630481 0.868046 1.254302 1.908797 3.250495
2025-10-26 0.337322 0.444091 0.597160 0.845722 1.269320 2.034446 3.761207
2025-11-02 0.309166 0.412964 0.565195 0.819802 1.271593 2.135207 4.266871
2025-11-09 0.286759 0.388027 0.539623 0.800103 1.280087 2.248926 4.866255
2025-11-16 0.267893 0.366694 0.517334 0.782585 1.288705 2.364541 5.544569
2025-11-23 0.252018 0.348612 0.498391 0.768209 1.300351 2.489935 6.344707
2025-11-30 0.244126 0.342181 0.497497 0.785582 1.378832 2.798120 8.042496
2025-12-07 0.233086 0.329932 0.485796 0.781383 1.410797 3.000547 9.570433
2025-12-14 0.223257 0.319359 0.476705 0.782409 1.458014 3.273737 11.876861
2025-12-21 0.209710 0.301982 0.454714 0.756103 1.438526 3.350529 13.337380
2025-12-28 0.206637 0.301539 0.462112 0.789159 1.567940 3.953973 19.605503
2026-01-04 0.202177 0.298409 0.464347 0.811831 1.677605 4.562681 28.668929
2026-01-11 0.195259 0.290624 0.457386 0.813944 1.733652 5.010437 39.022706
2026-01-18 0.186000 0.278271 0.441025 0.793546 1.722960 5.181351 47.102407
2026-01-25 0.177023 0.265960 0.423951 0.769838 1.698588 5.284971 55.430805
2026-02-01 0.169373 0.255610 0.409967 0.751803 1.688027 5.454351 67.928781
2026-02-08 0.162480 0.246274 0.397368 0.735750 1.680814 5.642982 85.016650
2026-02-15 0.156369 0.238052 0.386437 0.722568 1.680389 5.873986 110.498818
2026-02-22 0.153875 0.236163 0.387729 0.738498 1.777013 6.729171 213.946300